Friday, February 22, 2013

Interactive: Predicting GOP's demographic problem

By Chris Wilson

Just to get out ahead of the pack a little, I?m go ahead and call 2020 election for the Democrats.

I'm less sure about 2016, though at the present this next election is not looking good for the GOP either. This forecast is based on extremely simple math: Take the current rates of turnout and party preference for the four major racial and ethnic groups and plug them in to the Census Bureau?s population projections for the 18-and-over population in the next half-century.

If you simply project the present into the future, then it?s pretty clear that Democrats have this thing in the bag--"thing" referring to the future of democracy. We can assume that the future will not look exactly like the present, which is why this widget allows you to manipulate the percentages of each group that turn out to vote and who they vote for. It?s when you start messing with the dials in this interactive that you realize the massive amount of trouble the GOP faces if it does not change its image with minority voters.?or, as well soon be calling them, ?plurality voters.? Here, you can try it yourself:

You will notice that turnout is very low for Hispanic and Asian Americans. This is because we?re measuring voter turnout for the entire voting age population, including those who are not citizens or are otherwise ineligible to vote. Going forward, a significantly larger proportion of both demographics will have been born in the United States. As the Pew Hispanic Center wrote in a study of the Hispanic electorate published shortly after the 2012 election, ?That vast majority (93%) of Latino youths are U.S-born citizens and thus will automatically become eligible to vote once they turn 18.? The report was titled ?An Awakened Giant.?

Even a few ticks upward in Hispanic turnout have major benefits for the Democratic Party, which stands to draw less than half its support from non-Hispanic white voters by the end of the decade. Meanwhile, the Republicans don?t have a tremendous amount of ground left to gain among white voters, who will shrink both in total numbers and as a share of the electorate in the coming elections.

Predictions fail on account of a failure of imagination on the part of those making them. In recent elections, however, partisanship by racial and ethnic background has remained highly predictable in the face of countless calamities. The demographics of the electorate are going to change so rapidly in the next eight years that politics will seem unrecognizable, but these party loyalties may very well be intact. This is a fact that itself is not difficult to recognize whatsoever.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/predict-presidential-elections-by-demographic-interactive-widget-225441066.html

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BRIT Awards 2013: Taylor Swift, One Direction & Justin Timberlake ...

What else but awards season could get us through the dead of winter? Keeping us warm right now are all the stunning pictures from the 2013 BRIT Awards, which took over London?s O2 Arena on Wednesday night (February 20). Before we can hear the acceptance speeches, see the stellar performances (including Mr. 20/20 Experience?Justin Timberlake) and watch Taylor Swift, once again, enjoy her very own sing-along?? we first get to relish in the?pageantry?of the red carpet. Check out the handsome fellas of One Direction, JT in his suit and tie, Jessie J?s daring dress and Tay rocking a sexy?Elie Saab gown (after all, Harry Styles needs to see what he?s been missing.)

Which pop star was dressed the best at this year?s BRIT Awards? Tell us below!?

Source: http://idolator.com/7442447/brit-awards-2013-taylor-swift-one-direction-justin-timberlake

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Haunting, rare images depict WWI devastation

TORONTO, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Canada's Rebecca Marino, a rising star in women's tennis, stepped away from the sport in search of a normal life on Wednesday, weary of battling depression and cyber-bullies. Ranked number 38 in the world two years ago, the 22-year-old admitted she had long suffered from depression and was no longer willing to make the sacrifices necessary to reach the top. "After thinking long and hard, I do not have the passion or enjoyment to drive myself to the level I would like to be at in professional tennis," Marino explained in a conference call. ...

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/photos/haunting-rare-images-depict-wwi-devastation-slideshow/

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Thursday, February 21, 2013

SPORTS ROUNDUP

Softball camp

The Livonia Churchill Chargers Fundamental Camp for girls in grades 3-8 will be from 9 a.m. until noon Saturday, March 2 at the high school fieldhouse.

The cost is $35 (pre-registration required).

For more information, call or email Churchill head coach Steve Gentilia at (734) 776-1716; or churchillsoftball@gmail.com.

Senior softball

A newly formed team in the 65-and-over Western Wayne County Suburban Softball League is seeking slow-pitch players the summer season, which runs from May through August.

Games will be played at 10 a.m. Mondays and Wednesdays in the Livonia, Canton and Westland areas.

The league is governed by ASA senior slow-pitch rules. A nominal fee will be assessed to cover incidental team and league expenses.

For more information, call Bob Mosher (734) 502-7477 or Doug Curry at (248) 767-0828.

Source: http://www.hometownlife.com/article/20130221/SPORTS10/302210521/1054/rss42

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Four dead, including gunman, in California shooting frenzy

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - A gunman on a shooting rampage in southern California killed three people on Tuesday in an attack at a home and three carjackings, before killing himself with a shotgun as officers closed in, police said.

The rolling spate of violence, which included at least one execution-style killing, spanned several miles across a number of communities in suburban Orange County, southeast of Los Angeles, including the cities of Tustin and Santa Ana.

The violence occurred just a week after a massive manhunt for a fugitive former Los Angeles policeman wanted in a series of shootings targeting officers and their families ended in a fiery stand-off in the mountains above Los Angeles.

In Orange County, authorities first received a call on a shooting before dawn at a home in Ladera Ranch, 50 miles southeast of Los Angeles, said Orange County Sheriff's Department spokesman Jim Amormino.

Officers arrived to find a woman shot to death. The gunman, who was in his 20s, fled the scene in a sport utility vehicle and headed to the city of Tustin, about 15 miles away, Amormino said.

The gunman committed his first carjacking in Tustin, near the 5 Freeway, where he shot and wounded a person, police said. That person is expected to survive, Amormino said.

Blocks away at an off-ramp for the 55 Freeway, on the border between Tustin and Santa Ana, he targeted a man with a BMW vehicle in a second carjacking, police said.

"He orders him out of the vehicle, walks him to the side of the curb and then executes our victim," said Santa Ana police spokesman Corporal Anthony Bertagna.

Behind the wheel of the BMW, the gunman drove back into Tustin where he committed another carjacking, killing one person and wounding another, police said.

At one point, the gunman also opened fire on a freeway, causing minor injuries to one person and damaging two cars, Tustin police spokesman Lieutenant Paul Garaven told reporters near a command post in his city.

Authorities said they were still investigating the motive of the gunman, who killed himself with a shotgun after officers pulled him over in his stolen vehicle in the nearby city of Villa Park, police said.

Police said they were still seeking to determine any possible relationship between the gunman, whose name has not been released, and the woman at the home in Ladera Ranch. None of the gunman's other victims knew him, Garaven said.

"We're still investigating how many victims we might have," Garaven said. He added that some more people or cars may have been hit when the gunman opened fire on the 55 Freeway.

Despite early reports that he was using two so-called "long guns," which include weapons such as rifles, only the shotgun has been recovered so far and police said it was unclear if the attacker had another firearm.

(This story has been corrected to fix name of Santa Ana police spokesman in paragraph 8 and location where suspect died in paragraph 11)

(Reporting by Alex Dobuzinskis; Editing by Cynthia Johnston, Andrew Hay and Dan Grebler)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/four-dead-including-gunman-california-shooting-spree-175518393.html

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Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Oscar Pistorius trial: Is it South Africa's version of the OJ Simpson trial?

Since Oscar Pistorius was taken into custody on Valentine's Day, accused of murdering his girlfriend, South Africa has seemed to have spoken of little else.

By Kenichi Serino,?Contributor / February 20, 2013

Olympic athlete Oscar Pistorius stands inside the court as a police officer looks on during his bail hearing at the magistrate court in Pretoria, South Africa, Feb. 20. A South African judge says defense lawyers will need to offer 'exceptional' reasons to convince him to grant bail for Oscar Pistorius, when a hearing resumes Wednesday.

Themba Hadebe/AP

Enlarge

Johannesburg, South Africa

The court case of Olympian and double-amputee Oscar Pistorius, accused of shooting and killing his model girlfriend Reeva Steenkamp early Valentine?s Day morning, is still in early stages. But the fame of the accused and the media frenzy surrounding the bail hearing today has many dubbing it ?South Africa?s OJ Simpson trial.?

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The media were immediately aflame with reports of the killing inside Mr. Pistorius?s house, located in an exclusive, high-security housing community. And South Africa has since seemed to have spoken of little other than the ?Blade Runner? ? so named for the high-tech carbon-fiber prosthetic legs he uses when competing.

The instant infamy of the case recalled for some in South Africa the ?Trial of the Century? in the US ?when Mr. Simpson, a former football star, was accused of killing his wife. His trial almost two decades ago riveted America for months.

One commentator on the SABC, the South African public broadcaster, argued that the South African case could be even bigger, as Pistorius was already world-famous while Simpson, who broke records in American football and was well known in the US, only gained global infamy after his criminal trial.

?It?s an obvious comparison, but we're at an early stage. I mean, are South Africans as interested in the minutiae of the story as the OJ case? Yes, possibly,? says Indra de Lanerolle of the University of Witwatersrand?s Journalism department.

The killing comes six months after Pistorius returned home to a hero?s welcome following his success in the 2012 London Olympics and Paralympics. One local magazine featured him on their cover with the headline ?Man of the Future.?

Pistorius claimed that he mistook his girlfriend for an intruder behind a bathroom door and, not realizing that Ms. Steenkamp was not in bed, opened fire with a licensed 9 mm he took from under his pillow.

But details quickly emerged that neighbors complained of shouting from the house leading up to the shooting, and police officials said they had been called to the Pistorius home for ?previous incidents of a domestic nature.?

Media circus

Outside the Pretoria courthouse Tuesday, before his bail hearing started, television news trucks from both local and international media outlets set up shop while journalists battled to get inside.

An image that captures the media frenzy is a widely circulated video of Pistorius standing alone before the court, while more than a dozen photographers stand close by, cameras pointing at him, clicking away madly.

Already, Sunday papers had been filled with opinions and columns and articles tackling the story from every angle. Journalists cited anonymous sources detailing the crime scene, reporting that Steenkamp was shot multiple times. Local weekly City Press created an elaborate graphic to describe how authorities believe the killing unfolded.

The Pistorius defense team responded, criticizing the investigation, arguing that it had not yet even been given access to the crime scene to conduct their own investigation ? and appeared to be working to cast popular doubt about the state?s case against their client.

The glove, the cricket bat

In what hearkens back to Simpson?s iconic bloody glove ? a? bloody cricket bat found at the crime scene was the topic of discussion in many articles.

Also similar is the status of the lawyers involved: Well-known criminal defense lawyer Barry Roux will represent Pistorius. The even more famous Gerrie Nel ? who successfully prosecuted South Africa?s former police chief for corruption ? will lead the prosecution.

As the media has scrambled for access or any details of the case in an effort to feed the insatiable?public appetite for details, there remains a major difference between the two trials: ?the existence of social media. The constant tweeting has given South Africa?s growing social media public unprecedented access to the Pistorius trial where live television coverage is forbidden.? ??

Journalists inside the courtroom have competed to tweet as often as possible, giving their followers up to the second, play-by-play of the proceedings.

?I had to turn off half the journalists I follow because of the volume,? said Mr. de Lanerolle. ?It was 20 or 30 tweets an hour. It's almost like live TV.?

Because of wide disparities between rich and poor in South Africa, only a minority have Internet access. However, among those that do, Twitter is enormously popular.

Technology research company WorldWideWorx found that Twitter was the fastest growing social networking site in South Africa, with 1.1 million users in mid-2011, a 20-fold increase from the previous year.

?I think the thing about Twitter in South Africa is that it?s very popular out of the community of Internet users,? says de Lanerolle. ?It really picked up especially among journalists, so it has a very strong news bent.?

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/csm/~3/R1MOnidCwUI/Oscar-Pistorius-trial-Is-it-South-Africa-s-version-of-the-OJ-Simpson-trial

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ARPA-E Funding for Energy Storage System Development ? Apply by March 21, 2013

February 20th, 2013

The Robust Affordable Next Generation Energy Storage Systems (RANGE) program seeks to improve EV range and reduce vehicle costs by re-envisioning the total EV battery system, rather than working to increase the energy density of individual battery cells.?

RANGE projects will focus on developing robust battery chemistries and architectures that would improve vehicle driving range and overall battery robustness. RANGE projects will also focus on multifunctional energy storage designs that use these robust storage systems to simultaneously serve other functions on a vehicle, thus further reducing an energy storage system?s effective weight and overall electric vehicle weight.

ARPA-E is encouraging outstanding scientists and engineers from different organizations, scientific disciplines, and technology sectors to form new project teams for RANGE applications and projects. ARPA-E believes that interdisciplinary and cross-organizational collaborations can facilitate scientific and technological discoveries that a single group alone would not be able to achieve.

If you are interested in forming a RANGE team within Oregon, Drive Oregon may be able to help you connect with potential partner researchers or companies. ?Email emmaline@driveoregon.org to get that conversation started.

Details

The submission deadline for RANGE Concept Papers is 5 p.m. ET on March 21, 2013.

To view the full RANGE Funding Opportunity Announcement, find more information on?RANGE Teaming Partner arrangements or apply for RANGE funding, please visit the?ARPA-E Funding Opportunity Exchange.

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/DriveOregon/~3/qv0jCJ1DEg8/

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